Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Faksa 56.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Faksa 54.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.1%
Neutral zone
Faksa 54.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
McCarron
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McCarron
Faksa
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Faksa
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
5
McCarron
Faksa
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
56.9% (671)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
85.7% (7)
-30.1%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
55.0% (80)
+0.1%
On power play, Faksa has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
McCarron
Faksa
Home
54.6% (445)
59.5% (375)
Away
54.2% (478)
54.6% (383)
By Period
McCarron
Faksa
P1
53.6%
61.2%
P2
55.6%
54.5%
P3
53.7%
55.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |