Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Hintz 53.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 82.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
McCarron
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
McCarron
Hintz
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
6
McCarron
Hintz
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
0
McCarron
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
53.6% (711)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.8% (93)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
58.7% (46)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hintz
Home
54.6% (445)
52.6% (460)
Away
54.2% (478)
55.4% (390)
By Period
McCarron
Hintz
P1
53.6%
59.0%
P2
55.6%
52.7%
P3
53.7%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |