Michael McCarron vs Ryan Johansen

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.4%). Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Johansen 84.1%
Defensive zone McCarron 73.4%
Neutral zone Johansen 55.8%
Result Ryan Johansen favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
McCarron Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
McCarron Johansen
Last 9: McCarron 5-4 Johansen

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
McCarron Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
McCarron Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron Johansen
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,791)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
56.2% (2,163)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (422)
50.5% (978)
+0.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +9.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (992).
McCarron shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johansen
Home
52.2% (1,592)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.3% (1,705)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
McCarron
Johansen
P1
54.3%
53.2%
P2
51.6%
53.9%
P3
52.3%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
32.0%
49.0%
52.7%
Johansen
48.0%
48.5%
53.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 2, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Mar 2, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Mar 2, 2024 1 17:01 Neutral Michael McCarron
Mar 2, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 20, 2023 3 05:14 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 20, 2023 2 14:12 Offensive Ryan Johansen
Jan 3, 2017 2 11:11 Defensive Ryan Johansen
Jan 3, 2017 1 16:47 Defensive Ryan Johansen
Jan 3, 2017 1 08:34 Offensive Ryan Johansen