Michael McCarron vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.1%). Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Johansen 52.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
McCarron
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCarron
Johansen
Last 6: McCarron 5-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
51.9% (597)
+2.6%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
57.9% (133)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
54.3% (81)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johansen
Home
52.2% (339)
55.8% (387)
Away
54.2% (332)
50.7% (424)
By Period
McCarron
Johansen
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
50.6%
56.2%
P3
55.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |