Michael McCarron vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 50.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 67.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
McCarron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCarron
Kesler
Last 5: McCarron 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
60.7% (1,437)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kesler
Home
52.3% (1,696)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
McCarron
Kesler
P1
53.9%
56.5%
P2
52.5%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |