Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Reedy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reedy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Reedy 44.4% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reedy 86.2%
Defensive zone
Reedy 59.0%
Neutral zone
Reedy 76.4%
Result
Scott Reedy favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
McCarron
Reedy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCarron
Reedy
Last 5: McCarron 1-4 Reedy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reedy
0
1
McCarron
Reedy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reedy
0
1
McCarron
Reedy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reedy
1
2
McCarron
Reedy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Reedy
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
39.7% (116)
+17.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
0.0% (2)
+32.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reedy shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Reedy is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
McCarron
Reedy
Home
48.3% (147)
55.1% (49)
Away
58.7% (206)
31.3% (83)
By Period
McCarron
Reedy
P1
53.4%
38.6%
P2
59.5%
40.0%
P3
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Reedy
40.0%▬
40.2%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Scott Reedy |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Scott Reedy |