Michael McCarron vs Shawn Matthias
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Matthias 46.6% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 58.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 90.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 80.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
McCarron
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McCarron
Matthias
Last 5: McCarron 4-1 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Matthias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
46.4% (1,716)
+7.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
56.3% (103)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
41.7% (175)
+8.8%
On power play, Matthias has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
McCarron
Matthias
Home
52.3% (1,696)
46.9% (933)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
McCarron
Matthias
P1
53.9%
47.8%
P2
52.5%
49.4%
P3
52.0%
41.6%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |