Michael McCarron vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Crosby 55.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 92.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 64.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
McCarron
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McCarron
Crosby
Last 6: McCarron 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
McCarron
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
53.5% (961)
-0.4%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
64.1% (237)
-45.9%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
64.3% (14)
-10.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
McCarron
Crosby
Home
52.8% (477)
56.4% (622)
Away
52.8% (411)
54.9% (590)
By Period
McCarron
Crosby
P1
56.5%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
52.6%
P3
49.0%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |