Michael McCarron vs Sidney Crosby
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 91.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 63.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
McCarron
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McCarron
Crosby
Last 8: McCarron 2-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
McCarron
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
McCarron
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
56.2% (1,451)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.4% (293)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
55.3% (38)
-0.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McCarron
Crosby
Home
54.6% (445)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.2% (478)
54.7% (843)
By Period
McCarron
Crosby
P1
53.6%
54.9%
P2
55.6%
60.8%
P3
53.7%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |