Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.4%). Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Stützle 52.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 79.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 87.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 56.9%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
McCarron
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McCarron
Stützle
Last 6: McCarron 1-5 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
4
McCarron
Stützle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
McCarron
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
53.0% (485)
+0.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
55.2% (58)
-37.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
56.7% (30)
-3.0%
On power play, Stützle has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
McCarron
Stützle
Home
52.8% (477)
52.5% (282)
Away
52.8% (411)
54.3% (291)
By Period
McCarron
Stützle
P1
56.5%
52.1%
P2
53.2%
56.2%
P3
49.0%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |