Who wins more faceoffs, Michael McCarron or Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron leads the head-to-head 7-2 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Michael McCarron's faceoff record against Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron is 7-2 against Trevor Zegras in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 6-0, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Michael McCarron or Trevor Zegras?

Michael McCarron is the predicted winner with a 88.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Michael McCarron vs Trevor Zegras

Michael McCarronR vs Trevor ZegrasL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.7% vs Zegras 39.2% (+14.2%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McCarron 56.8%

Defensive zone McCarron 98.0%

Neutral zone McCarron 92.2%

Result Michael McCarron favored at 88.2%

88.2%

11.8%

McCarron Zegras

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 2 (9 meetings)

McCarron Zegras

Last 9: McCarron 7-2 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Zegras

McCarron Zegras

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Zegras

6 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Zegras

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McCarron

Zegras

Edge

Even Strength

53.4% (2,901)

38.6% (1,669)

+14.8%

Power Play

45.3% (86)

38.5% (148)

+6.8%

Penalty Kill

50.5% (463)

28.6% (7)

+21.9%

On penalty kill, McCarron has a +21.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Zegras shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).

McCarron shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).

Home / Away

McCarron

Zegras

Home

52.3% (1,696)

39.9% (882)

Away

53.3% (1,754)

37.4% (942)

By Period

McCarron

Zegras

53.9%

40.2%

52.5%

38.0%

52.0%

37.7%

33.3%

31.6%

Final 5 min

50.7%

40.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McCarron

48.0%▬

48.5%

52.8%

Zegras

16.0%▼

26.5%

38.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 12, 2026	1	17:46	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Mar 12, 2026	1	10:52	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	3	02:03	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	2	16:49	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 6, 2025	2	03:34	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Oct 30, 2025	3	08:50	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Oct 30, 2025	2	02:59	Offensive	Trevor Zegras
Nov 22, 2021	3	05:03	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 22, 2021	3	02:01	Offensive	Trevor Zegras

McCarron's Profile | Zegras's Profile