Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.3%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs McLeod 56.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 77.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kopitar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Kopitar
McLeod
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
8
Kopitar
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Kopitar
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
58.3% (859)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
50.0% (28)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
53.0% (168)
-6.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McLeod
Home
57.2% (778)
55.3% (526)
Away
56.5% (731)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Kopitar
McLeod
P1
56.3%
60.7%
P2
57.1%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
55.2%
OT
59.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |