Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs McLeod 56.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 95.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 72.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 83.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Barzal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barzal
McLeod
Last 5: Barzal 0-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Barzal
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Barzal
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
58.3% (859)
-11.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
50.0% (28)
-9.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Barzal is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Barzal shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Barzal
McLeod
Home
49.6% (242)
55.3% (526)
Away
43.3% (263)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Barzal
McLeod
P1
42.4%
60.7%
P2
49.5%
55.9%
P3
47.7%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |