Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
McLeod
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McLeod
Zibanejad
Last 6: McLeod 3-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McLeod
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
McLeod
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
50.9% (913)
+13.9%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
59.0% (39)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
37.5% (160)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zibanejad
Home
64.3% (308)
51.1% (536)
Away
65.7% (344)
47.6% (576)
By Period
McLeod
Zibanejad
P1
62.9%
50.1%
P2
64.8%
47.3%
P3
67.9%
50.7%
OT
37.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |