Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 78.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 77.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
McLeod
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
McLeod
Bonino
Last 10: McLeod 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
5
McLeod
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
McLeod
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
50.6% (8,315)
+8.6%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
54.1% (972)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
44.6% (1,693)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
McLeod
Bonino
Home
58.2% (1,647)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
McLeod
Bonino
P1
58.7%
50.6%
P2
59.9%
48.5%
P3
56.3%
51.1%
OT
63.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |