Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Bonino 51.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 85.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 69.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
McLeod
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
McLeod
Bonino
Last 9: McLeod 2-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
McLeod
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
McLeod
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
McLeod
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
51.7% (777)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
60.0% (50)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
43.9% (98)
+9.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
McLeod
Bonino
Home
55.3% (526)
48.2% (461)
Away
59.2% (529)
54.5% (464)
By Period
McLeod
Bonino
P1
60.7%
54.1%
P2
55.9%
49.7%
P3
55.2%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |