Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 93.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 80.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
McLeod
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McLeod
Suzuki
Last 5: McLeod 4-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
51.3% (1,096)
+13.5%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
59.9% (157)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
56.9% (58)
+8.4%
On even strength, McLeod has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
McLeod
Suzuki
Home
64.3% (308)
54.2% (638)
Away
65.7% (344)
51.0% (673)
By Period
McLeod
Suzuki
P1
62.9%
51.5%
P2
64.8%
53.3%
P3
67.9%
52.4%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |