Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 57.7%). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
McLeod 61.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 63.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
McLeod
Gaustad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
58.2% (4,334)
+1.0%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
65.4% (188)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
54.8% (1,290)
-1.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
McLeod
Gaustad
Home
58.2% (1,647)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
McLeod
Gaustad
P1
58.7%
58.2%
P2
59.9%
56.4%
P3
56.3%
58.3%
OT
63.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%