Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Kupari 53.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 51.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 84.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
McLeod
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Kupari
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Kupari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
53.6% (379)
+7.9%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
66.7% (6)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
72.2% (18)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. Kupari is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kupari
Home
62.0% (460)
55.5% (245)
Away
59.4% (508)
53.2% (158)
By Period
McLeod
Kupari
P1
61.5%
58.8%
P2
63.6%
47.8%
P3
56.2%
57.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |