Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Thomas 52.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 84.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 68.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
McLeod
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Thomas
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
McLeod
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
53.6% (924)
+7.9%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
55.2% (181)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
44.0% (116)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
McLeod
Thomas
Home
62.0% (460)
53.6% (606)
Away
59.4% (508)
52.2% (615)
By Period
McLeod
Thomas
P1
61.5%
48.2%
P2
63.6%
55.3%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
OT
73.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |