Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 94.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 89.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
McLeod
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Reinhart
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
McLeod
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Reinhart
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
42.5% (2,173)
+16.7%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
46.5% (525)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
41.3% (339)
+12.2%
On even strength, McLeod has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
McLeod shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
McLeod
Reinhart
Home
58.2% (1,647)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
McLeod
Reinhart
P1
58.7%
44.5%
P2
59.9%
40.5%
P3
56.3%
44.5%
OT
63.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |