Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Monahan 53.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 83.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 66.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
McLeod
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Monahan
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
54.5% (231)
+7.0%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
58.2% (67)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
52.2% (23)
+3.4%
On even strength, McLeod has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
McLeod
Monahan
Home
62.0% (460)
53.5% (144)
Away
59.4% (508)
56.5% (177)
By Period
McLeod
Monahan
P1
61.5%
52.5%
P2
63.6%
50.9%
P3
56.2%
60.8%
OT
73.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |