Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Crosby 52.8% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 97.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 93.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
McLeod
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
5
(21 meetings)
16
5
McLeod
Crosby
Last 10: McLeod 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
McLeod
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
12
0
McLeod
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
52.5% (1,443)
+9.0%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
54.7% (369)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
55.9% (34)
-0.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
McLeod
Crosby
Home
62.0% (460)
53.0% (931)
Away
59.4% (508)
53.0% (915)
By Period
McLeod
Crosby
P1
61.5%
50.3%
P2
63.6%
55.4%
P3
56.2%
53.3%
OT
73.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |