Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Rask 50.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 69.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 70.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
McLeod
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Rask
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
McLeod
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
50.0% (4,428)
+9.2%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
54.3% (363)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
35.2% (54)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
McLeod
Rask
Home
58.2% (1,647)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
McLeod
Rask
P1
58.7%
50.7%
P2
59.9%
48.9%
P3
56.3%
50.7%
OT
63.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |