Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Misa wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 45.0% vs Frost 55.7% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 69.1%
Defensive zone
Misa 88.1%
Neutral zone
Misa 77.7%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Misa
Frost
Last 8: Misa 2-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Misa
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Misa
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (218)
55.0% (686)
-11.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.8% (166)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (5)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
52.3% (107)
56.1% (428)
Away
34.4% (122)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
42.3%
58.9%
P2
38.3%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Frost
66.0%▲
60.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |