Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Misa wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 45.0% vs Frost 50.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 64.3%
Defensive zone
Misa 87.5%
Neutral zone
Misa 73.0%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Misa
Frost
Last 8: Misa 2-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Misa
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Misa
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (218)
49.4% (3,598)
-6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.5% (625)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.8% (36)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
52.3% (107)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
34.4% (122)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
42.3%
50.8%
P2
38.3%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |