Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Misa wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 47.9% vs Frost 49.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 57.5%
Defensive zone
Misa 86.5%
Neutral zone
Misa 68.2%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Misa
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Misa
Frost
Last 6: Misa 1-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Misa
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Misa
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (110)
49.0% (3,418)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.0% (600)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.8% (36)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Misa is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Misa shoots left. Frost is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,654).
Home / Away
Misa
Frost
Home
61.5% (39)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
37.8% (74)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Misa
Frost
P1
43.2%
50.3%
P2
43.8%
51.0%
P3
53.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.0%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |