Scouting Report
Michael Misa holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Misa on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Misa wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Misa 44.4% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 63.6%
Defensive zone
Misa 51.5%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 56.9%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Misa
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Misa
Buchnevich
Last 10: Misa 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Misa
3
0
Misa
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Misa
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
4
Misa
Buchnevich
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Misa
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (257)
40.5% (190)
+2.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
42.9% (14)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.0% (10)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Buchnevich has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Misa is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Misa shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Misa
Buchnevich
Home
49.6% (117)
40.7% (118)
Away
36.8% (152)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Misa
Buchnevich
P1
41.5%
42.3%
P2
39.8%
37.5%
P3
47.3%
40.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Misa
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Michael Misa |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Michael Misa |