Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raffl wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 49.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Raffl 74.4%
Defensive zone
Zajac 74.4%
Neutral zone
Raffl 52.1%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Raffl
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Raffl
Zajac
Last 10: Raffl 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
1
Raffl
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Raffl
Zajac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Raffl
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (597)
54.4% (9,056)
-5.3%
Power Play
48.1% (27)
59.1% (1,498)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
58.5% (41)
48.6% (1,599)
+9.9%
On power play, Zajac has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Raffl is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Raffl shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Raffl
Zajac
Home
51.1% (305)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
48.3% (360)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Raffl
Zajac
P1
51.6%
53.8%
P2
48.4%
55.6%
P3
49.2%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |