Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 50.1% vs Oshie 45.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 63.6%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 93.4%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 73.8%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Rasmussen
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rasmussen
Oshie
Last 5: Rasmussen 4-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Rasmussen
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
3
0
Rasmussen
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (681)
57.7% (26)
-7.6%
Power Play
63.5% (63)
41.3% (138)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (75)
0.0% (5)
+38.7%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Rasmussen shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Oshie
Home
50.6% (423)
41.0% (78)
Away
49.5% (396)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Rasmussen
Oshie
P1
50.4%
42.6%
P2
53.8%
41.9%
P3
46.5%
41.8%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |