Michael Sgarbossa vs Pontus Holmberg
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.7%). Look for Sgarbossa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.9% vs Holmberg 46.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 52.6%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 52.0%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 50.4%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Last 5: Sgarbossa 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (588)
45.5% (673)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
52.4% (21)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.9% (61)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Sgarbossa is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Holmberg is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Home
42.5% (320)
46.7% (418)
Away
48.3% (296)
44.5% (337)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
P1
45.0%
53.5%
P2
47.1%
41.1%
P3
43.9%
42.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.3%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |