Michael Sgarbossa vs Pontus Holmberg
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.3%). Look for Sgarbossa on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sgarbossa wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 47.8% vs Holmberg 47.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 65.0%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 53.2%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 65.2%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Last 5: Sgarbossa 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
1
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (121)
45.7% (175)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
75.0% (8)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.0% (20)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Sgarbossa is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
Home
41.1% (56)
50.9% (112)
Away
50.0% (70)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Holmberg
P1
38.5%
47.1%
P2
47.7%
45.7%
P3
48.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
41.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |