Scouting Report
Michael Sgarbossa holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Sgarbossa wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 47.8% vs Wilson 45.0% (+9.3%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 62.5%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 58.5%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 56.8%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Sgarbossa
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (121)
28.0% (25)
+16.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
40.0% (5)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.3% (30)
+56.7%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Sgarbossa is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Wilson is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Wilson
Home
41.1% (56)
26.9% (26)
Away
50.0% (70)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Wilson
P1
38.5%
44.4%
P2
47.7%
31.8%
P3
48.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
36.7%