Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 49.6% vs Smyth 50.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 58.7%
Defensive zone
Handzus 66.3%
Neutral zone
Handzus 58.9%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Handzus
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Handzus
Smyth
Last 5: Handzus 1-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Handzus
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Handzus
Smyth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Handzus
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (526)
49.7% (145)
+0.7%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
58.1% (31)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (124)
16.7% (6)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Handzus is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Handzus shoots left. Smyth is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Handzus
Smyth
Home
50.4% (361)
60.2% (103)
Away
48.5% (303)
36.7% (79)
By Period
Handzus
Smyth
P1
53.1%
51.7%
P2
47.2%
44.6%
P3
48.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |