Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 51.4% vs Smyth 45.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 66.2%
Defensive zone
Handzus 66.4%
Neutral zone
Handzus 51.1%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Handzus
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Handzus
Smyth
Last 8: Handzus 4-4 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
2
Handzus
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
1
Handzus
Smyth
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
1
Handzus
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (2,438)
45.2% (456)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.0% (286)
51.8% (164)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (471)
23.3% (43)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Handzus shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Handzus
Smyth
Home
52.2% (1,736)
49.7% (340)
Away
50.6% (1,481)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Handzus
Smyth
P1
52.5%
48.3%
P2
53.7%
41.7%
P3
48.4%
46.5%
OT
41.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |