Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Handzus wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 51.6% vs Connolly 46.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Handzus 64.3%
Defensive zone
Handzus 89.1%
Neutral zone
Handzus 79.9%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Handzus
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Handzus
Connolly
Last 5: Handzus 4-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
1
Handzus
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
0
Handzus
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
0
Handzus
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (873)
47.0% (702)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.1% (178)
49.7% (165)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (241)
29.9% (97)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Handzus has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Handzus is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Handzus shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Handzus
Connolly
Home
51.8% (681)
46.7% (512)
Away
51.5% (631)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Handzus
Connolly
P1
49.4%
46.5%
P2
57.5%
47.5%
P3
47.8%
44.0%
OT
47.4%
40.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.7%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |