Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Handzus wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 51.4% vs Connolly 47.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 52.1%
Defensive zone
Handzus 71.6%
Neutral zone
Handzus 63.9%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Handzus
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Handzus
Connolly
Last 10: Handzus 5-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
4
Handzus
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
1
Handzus
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
1
Handzus
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (2,438)
47.4% (1,307)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.0% (286)
50.2% (251)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (471)
41.9% (186)
+5.4%
On power play, Handzus has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Handzus is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Handzus shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Handzus
Connolly
Home
52.2% (1,736)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.6% (1,481)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Handzus
Connolly
P1
52.5%
47.4%
P2
53.7%
47.7%
P3
48.4%
47.0%
OT
41.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |