Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
2
Coyle
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
47.8% (667)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
51.4% (181)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
36.0% (186)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
52.5% (238)
48.4% (529)
Away
44.6% (269)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
49.7%
46.2%
P2
49.5%
47.7%
P3
46.3%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |