Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 74.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 66.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Coyle 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Coyle
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
50.9% (913)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
59.0% (39)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
37.5% (160)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (719)
51.1% (536)
Away
48.8% (758)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
51.1%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
53.3%
50.7%
OT
57.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |