Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 70.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 73.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Coyle
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Coyle
Zibanejad
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.9% (870)
-3.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
53.5% (43)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
46.2% (143)
-2.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coyle is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Coyle
Zibanejad
Home
47.4% (409)
55.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (360)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Coyle
Zibanejad
P1
50.8%
57.5%
P2
46.0%
50.7%
P3
48.4%
47.9%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |