Scouting Report
Jeff Skinner holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Skinner wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 51.6% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 87.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 93.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Skinner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Skinner
Zibanejad
Last 6: Skinner 1-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Skinner
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (200)
49.5% (1,211)
-2.0%
Power Play
62.0% (100)
52.8% (214)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.4% (247)
-47.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Skinner is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Skinner shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Skinner
Zibanejad
Home
58.9% (158)
52.8% (825)
Away
44.8% (143)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Skinner
Zibanejad
P1
49.0%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
46.5%
P3
59.6%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |