Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 46.3%). Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.8% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 72.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 76.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Skinner
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Skinner
Zibanejad
Last 8: Skinner 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
3
0
Skinner
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Skinner
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (49)
47.8% (667)
-0.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
51.4% (181)
-5.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Skinner is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Skinner shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Skinner
Zibanejad
Home
60.7% (28)
48.4% (529)
Away
34.4% (32)
44.2% (505)
By Period
Skinner
Zibanejad
P1
47.8%
46.2%
P2
50.0%
47.7%
P3
40.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
35.0%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
46.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |