Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
MacLean
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacLean
Zibanejad
Last 6: MacLean 3-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
MacLean
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
0
MacLean
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
MacLean
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
50.9% (913)
-8.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
59.0% (39)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
37.5% (160)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
MacLean shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
MacLean
Zibanejad
Home
41.4% (128)
51.1% (536)
Away
43.7% (119)
47.6% (576)
By Period
MacLean
Zibanejad
P1
49.3%
50.1%
P2
41.6%
47.3%
P3
37.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
41.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |