Matthew Poitras vs Mika Zibanejad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.5% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 69.5%
Defensive zone
Poitras 65.9%
Neutral zone
Poitras 66.1%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Poitras
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Poitras
Zibanejad
Last 5: Poitras 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Poitras
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Poitras
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (245)
50.9% (913)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.0% (39)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
37.5% (160)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Poitras is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Poitras shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Poitras
Zibanejad
Home
44.6% (121)
51.1% (536)
Away
42.9% (133)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Poitras
Zibanejad
P1
41.5%
50.1%
P2
45.4%
47.3%
P3
44.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |