Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.4%). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Bonino 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Zibanejad
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
51.7% (777)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
60.0% (50)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
43.9% (98)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bonino
Home
55.2% (656)
48.2% (461)
Away
49.6% (682)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bonino
P1
56.3%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
51.2%
50.7%
OT
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |