Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 55.7%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
4
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
46.5% (484)
+7.3%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
47.5% (99)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
46.7% (15)
-3.1%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Zibanejad shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Home
48.2% (307)
45.3% (298)
Away
54.4% (439)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
P1
54.0%
40.4%
P2
51.0%
46.8%
P3
50.6%
53.4%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |