Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
4
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
45.9% (665)
+7.5%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
46.8% (111)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
50.0% (24)
-5.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
Home
49.0% (429)
44.7% (409)
Away
54.1% (521)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Zibanejad
Schmaltz
P1
53.0%
40.3%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
51.0%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |