Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Rakell 41.7% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 94.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 81.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Zibanejad
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
36.8% (114)
+16.6%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
42.3% (26)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
0.0% (7)
+44.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rakell is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rakell
Home
49.0% (429)
41.2% (68)
Away
54.1% (521)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rakell
P1
53.0%
34.5%
P2
51.1%
38.5%
P3
51.0%
33.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |