Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Rakell 47.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 86.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 81.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Zibanejad
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Zibanejad
Rakell
Last 5: Zibanejad 4-1 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
41.5% (41)
+11.4%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
66.7% (3)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Rakell is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Rakell
Home
55.1% (501)
40.0% (15)
Away
49.2% (555)
43.3% (30)
By Period
Zibanejad
Rakell
P1
57.5%
40.0%
P2
50.7%
37.5%
P3
47.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |