Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Bennett 48.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 61.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 78.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 70.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Zibanejad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Zibanejad
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
46.4% (780)
+7.0%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
57.3% (150)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
47.8% (46)
-3.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bennett
Home
49.0% (429)
50.3% (519)
Away
54.1% (521)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bennett
P1
53.0%
47.5%
P2
51.1%
46.6%
P3
51.0%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |