Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Bennett 46.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 83.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Zibanejad
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zibanejad
Bennett
Last 9: Zibanejad 4-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Zibanejad
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
5
Zibanejad
Bennett
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
46.5% (909)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
43.1% (51)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
38.5% (13)
+7.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Bennett
Home
55.1% (501)
45.4% (449)
Away
49.2% (555)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Zibanejad
Bennett
P1
57.5%
49.6%
P2
50.7%
43.7%
P3
47.9%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |