Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 56.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 75.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Zibanejad
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
76.5% (17)
-25.6%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
28.6% (7)
+30.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gagner
Home
51.1% (536)
75.0% (16)
Away
47.6% (576)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gagner
P1
50.1%
25.0%
P2
47.3%
64.3%
P3
50.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%